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Big 12 quarterfinal: (2) WVU v. (10) Texas

You are looking live at the logo for this year’s Big 12 tournament, which just got real. TCU has beaten Kansas, the No. 1 team in the polls and this tournament that played without suspended Josh Jackson and still hit 82 points. The Horned Frogs were once 17-7 and 6-5 in the Big 12 before losing the final seven regular-season games. They won last night and became just the second team in six years of this 10-team tournament format to win first- and second-round games.

No one’s safe here. We know that.

Now Texas, which had also lost seven in a row before winning last night, will attempt to become the third team to win on the first and second day. Two in six years is one thing. Two in one day is another. But why not? Say what you will about the Longhorns having to play last night and then again today, but they have momentum and WVU hasn’t played a game since Friday.

We’ve covered the many angles except one, and I think this one matters tonight. West Virginia needs to score.

Trenchant, no?

Texas is not especially prolific on offense and can be exploited on defense. The Longhorns are 3-17 when they score 69 points or less and 3-13 then the opponent is at or above 70.

I know, I know. Texas is 11-21 and loses more than it wins … but 20 of 32 game with fewer than 70 points while opponents gone above 70 on 16 occasions. Hmm. If WVU reaches 70 tonight, that’ll be the 200th time under Bob Huggins. WVU is 167-32 in the first 199. The Mountaineers have only been under 70 four times this season, and they’re 3-1.

Texas doesn’t have a big-time scorer or shooter. Jarrett Allen gets some of his off entry passes, which WVU is going to try to deny, and some more off rebounds. He’s very good, but he’s not streaky. The Longhorns oftentimes have to search for points and/or for scorers.

But they’re capable. They were bobbing in the water last night until they found a spark. Texas scored 31 points in the first 27 minutes, 11 seconds and then found 30 in the final 12:49. But point a finger at Texas Tech, too. The Red Raiders and a 42-31 lead with 10:35 to go and went ice cold. Nine points the rest of the way.

The history of this event — and tournament play in general — suggests there will be a gap between WVU and Texas, but we also know WVU can go through costly lulls and droughts. This can be agreeable or this can be arduous, and the difference is how consistent the Mountaineers are offensively. We just saw what can and does happen when a top team doesn’t bring it.