The Sock 'Em, Bust 'Em Board Because that's our custom

Good seed, bad seed and projection misdeeds

You know, that’s not the best celebration picture I’ve seen, but that’s a pretty good encapsulation of what happened last night and what it meant for West Virginia’s women’s team. The Mountaineers beat Kansas and clinched a share of the Big 12’s regular-season title. Baylor won last night, too, which means the Bears are co-champs and actually the No. 1 seed in the weekend’s conference tournament.

Things are less definitive for WVU’s men’s team, which can still finish as high as tied for second place in the conference standings or alone in eighth place.

Let’s begin with the most optimistic outlook, because that’s all the Mountaineers are concerning themselves with as they push for the postseason. They believe they’ll go 2-0 and then have concrete plans for the rest of the month.

“I just think if we win the next two games, we’re in,” said guard Eron Harris, whose 3-pointer at the end of regulation and two more 3s in overtime led the way to a 91-86 win against the Sooners last month to snap a 16-game losing streak against ranked teams.

“Regardless what our record is right now, we’ve got to focus and win the next two games. If we do that, we’re in the tournament. Your chances of winning the (Big 12) tournament aren’t big. It’s the best league in the nation and everyone going in doesn’t have the same chance to win. We’ve got to get these two games. These are the two most important games of the season right now, the next two games.”

Easier said than done, but it’s not easy to say what can happen the next few days, either.

I’m pretty sure what follows is correct, based on complex tie-breakers, but don’t sue me if it’s not. And understand a lot of it can change rather easily (like if Texas beats TCU tonight, which will happen. Right?)

The Mountaineers could actually be as high as the No. 4 seed and play No. 5 Oklahoma in the second round of the Big 12 Tournament. That requires WVU winning two games, Texas and Oklahoma going 0-2 and Iowa State and Kansas State going 0-1. Not likely, because 0-16 TCU has to beat Texas and Oklahoma, but if it happens, it would create a five-way tie for second. I think a bevy of tie-breakers sorts it out as Texas, Kansas State, WVU, Oklahoma and Iowa State.

If WVU wins twice and gets to 10 conference and someone among 10-win Texas, Oklahoma, Iowa State and Kansas State finish with 10 wins, WVU can finish no worse than the No. 6 seed, but no higher than No. 5.

Then again, WVU has to deal with the Sooners tonight and Kansas Saturday at a sold-out Coliseum, but also streaking Baylor and Oklahoma State.

They can both finish 9-9 if Baylor wins Saturday at Kansas State and Oklahoma State wins Saturday at Iowa State. If that happens, and if WVU slips once in the next two games, Baylor is the N0. 6 seed, Oklahoma State the No. 7 and WVU the No. 8. If Baylor and Oklahoma State win Saturday and WVU loses tonight and Saturday, WVU is again the No. 8 seed.

If the Cowboys win, the Bears lose and WVU goes 1-1, Oklahoma State is the N0. 6. If the Bears win, Oklahoma State loses and WVU goes 1-1, the WVU-Baylor tie is broken by the best record against the highest team in the standings, which is too hard predict right now … unless WVU’s win in the 1-1 finish comes against Kansas, which beat Baylor twice in the regular season.

What does it mean? Everything and nothing, but the Mountaineers have a ton at stake the next two games, including that NCAA Tournament possibility. They can be off the first day of the conference tournament or they can play Texas Tech or TCU the first day.

They’re going to worry about going 2-0, if that’s OK with you.