Hello, Herd fans!
I could go into this and follow the script, which is this: FAU line blows away MU’s defensive front, Devin Singletary runs for 225, the Herd commits 3 more turnovers and the game is out of hand shortly after halftime. FAU 51, Herd 30.
But that’s lazy, and I smell something possible here. Hardly a slam dunk, not a 50-50 chance, but quite possible.
I look back at FAU’s last game before conference play, an inexplicable 34-31 loss to Buffalo, think about Marshall’s game, and a formula for an upset hits me.
First, Marshall must go back to playing turnover-free football. Hard to do against a ball-hawking secondary, and Tyler King must redouble his ball security efforts, but is it doable? Yes.
The Herd must convert its first downs, and FAU’s defense is *not* good in that category. Can the Herd run on that bunch behind a three-freshman line? I think so.
Combine that, and the Herd can do something that’s very necessary in this one — hog the ball. We’re talking 37 minutes plus, keeping the defense fresh and keeping Devin Singletary off the field. Is it doable? I think so.
Is Marshall really as bad as it looked last week in the loss to Florida International? If it is, it will finish 6-6, no questions asked. It’s better than that, especially on the road.
Yes, this is a road team. Strangely enough, I see that continuing.
You folks should know I’m hardly a homer, but work with me here. FAU isn’t going to win all 8 conference games, and that bubble just might burst Friday night.
The irrational gut hunch …
HERD 38, FAU 31